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Explore our library of blogs and updates for the latest in AI and short-term power trading.

Balancing markets in 2026: More efficient, less forgiving

With platforms like PICASSO now operational, cross-border balancing has dampened some of the sharpest edges that characterized earlier years. Imbalance value still exists, but capturing it that has become more competitive.

What’s missing in many trading setups is a forward-looking view on where imbalance prices are likely to settle, also as a directional proxy for intraday price dynamics.

Short-term power trading in the energy transition: The 2026 edition

Solar growth, evolving market rules, and accelerated automation are reshaping trading conditions at a pace the industry hasn’t seen before. We break down the key developments into three interconnected areas: the power grid, energy markets, and trading technologies.

The Dutch SDE++ subsidy: Shortfalls and opportunities for power market participants

The SDE++ has been highly effective in driving the Netherlands’ renewable energy buildout. However, it also created structural inefficiencies. What can power market participants do to protect their returns?

SDAC 15-minute MTU transition: What’s changing for European short-term power traders?

As of the 1st of October, European day-ahead power markets will transition from hourly to 15-minute market time units (MTUs). How does this impact bidding logic? Will a sawtooth pattern emerge?

Market impact in short-term power trading: The Dutch case and lessons for Belgium

When hundreds of short-term power traders pursue the same profitable strategy, that strategy eventually stops paying off. Yet market impact – the collective influence of trading decisions on market outcomes – remains a blind spot for many participants.

Forecasting wind and solar for short-term power trading: Three shifts and ways to adapt

As volatility persists and imbalance price spreads widen, three market shifts are reshaping power forecasting requirements: traded volumes moving to intraday, increasing tail risk from rare weather events, and bias from poor data quality.

How the SDAC mechanism works – and what happens when it fails

The Single Day-Ahead Coupling (SDAC) optimizes cross-border electricity trading by matching supply and demand across different countries for power delivery the following day. It’s a highly complex and time-constrained system, which can sometimes lead to vulnerabilities.

2024 in review: The events that shaped short-term power markets

Whilst the peak of the energy crisis is behind us (for now), 2024 was anything but ordinary. We reflect on the year’s most widely debated and consequential short-term power market moments and prepare for what’s ahead in 2025.

TIDE in Italy: Dispatching and balancing reform explained by short-term power traders

Starting January 1st, 2025, Italy’s regulatory authority will roll out a major dispatching and balancing reform: TIDE. A key change is the shift to 15-minute imbalance prices.

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