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Explore our library of blogs and updates for the latest in AI and short-term power trading.

Balancing markets in 2026: More efficient, less forgiving

With platforms like PICASSO now operational, cross-border balancing has dampened some of the sharpest edges that characterized earlier years. Imbalance value still exists, but capturing it that has become more competitive.

What’s missing in many trading setups is a forward-looking view on where imbalance prices are likely to settle, also as a directional proxy for intraday price dynamics.

SDAC 15-minute MTU transition: What’s changing for European short-term power traders?

As of the 1st of October, European day-ahead power markets will transition from hourly to 15-minute market time units (MTUs). How does this impact bidding logic? Will a sawtooth pattern emerge?

Belgium joins PICASSO: Expected impact on imbalance prices

Belgium will join the European cross-border balancing platform PICASSO. This step aligns Belgium with the EU’s broader efforts to harmonize balancing markets, enhancing the coordination of aFRR activations across borders.

Go-live of PICASSO in the Netherlands: What is the impact on imbalance prices?

In just a few days, Dutch Transmission System Operator (TSO) TenneT will join the European cross-border balancing platform PICASSO, making the Netherlands the first country to go live after Italy suspended its participation.

Probabilistic price forecasts for short-term trade optimization

Trade strategies that incorporate probabilistic price forecasts offer a comprehensive view of uncertainty. This article reviews the advantages and qualities of probabilistic forecasts, then provides ways to apply conformal prediction.

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