Explore our library of blogs and updates for the latest in AI and short-term power trading.
In March 2025, the four Nordic TSOs introduced the automated Nordic mFRR Energy Activation Market (mFRR EAM). Day-ahead to imbalance spreads rose sharply from early 2025 as a result. We expect the current direction to reverse in 2027.
The shift to shorter aFRR capacity blocks is underway across Europe. For a renewable power trader, committing capacity in a 4-hour block instead of a 24-hour one means making that call more often, and a point forecast alone doesn’t say how much margin it needs.
Between 2022 and 2025, CSEE added 20.5 GW of solar PV. This rapid deployment is widening day-ahead-to-imbalance spreads and driving intraday trading volumes across Romania, Hungary, Bulgaria and Greece. Analysis from ETCSEE 2026.
While computers excel at processing large volumes of data at high speeds, humans bring a complementary, unparalleled depth of understanding and adaptability to the table: a simple definition of ‘human-in-the-loop’.
Following the events of 1 May 2026, the SDAC price floor is dropping to -600 EUR/MWh. This article covers how the floor change works and what it means for day-ahead and intraday trading going forward.
On January 1st, 2026, Switzerland moved from dual to single imbalance pricing. For short-term traders, imbalance price forecasting in Switzerland now has a direct P&L impact. The signal is cleaner and the reward structure is more transparent.
High-wind shutdowns – automatic turbine stops triggered by extreme wind speeds – are a high-risk moment in short-term power trading. When forecasts fail to anticipate them, imbalance volumes can spike precisely during volatile price periods.
With platforms like PICASSO now operational, cross-border balancing has dampened some of the sharpest edges that characterized earlier years. Imbalance value still exists, but capturing it that has become more competitive.
Clouds can significantly and suddenly reduce solar power output. Solar Nowcasting enables traders to anticipate deviations across all assets, including those without near-time data, and adjust positions in advance.